Freedman’s Nfl Week 5 Trends & Early Bets

And check out our comparative NFL odds page for matchup reports and stats breakdowns and see Fan Duel Sportsbook or Draft Kings to sign up and start betting for real money. Week 7 has arrived, and a handful of the most entertaining teams are on bye this week. The Bills, Cowboys, Chargers, Vikings, Steelers, and Jaguars do not take the field in Week 7. Still, there are several exciting games to watch this week, and you can check out my analysis on every game in my Week 7 Lines & Predictions article.

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The Texans have also come out ahead for bettors in that span, going 4-2 ATS over the last six and 8-6 ATS since 2014. http://www.eademrevista.ufba.br/draftkings-unveils-week-1-nfl-betting-odds-for-the-2021-season-3/ Despite having lost to Jacksonville just twice at Reliant Stadium over the last decade, Houston is a three-point home underdog in Week 1. Washington will open 2021 against the Los Angeles Chargers as a ‘dog at FedExField, a site where they went 2-5 SU but 5-2 ATS as an underdog in 2020.

The Dolphins are definitely not off to the start they were hoping for, and things look like they are going to get worse this week. The Bucs are looking to get their mojo going again after a loss and an ugly win on the road over the last couple of weeks. Based on the NFL betting odds for this matchup, the Bucs should have a comfortable win today. Not only did the Raiders suffer an NFL betting upset loss at home last week to the Chicago Bears, but they also lost their head coach.

The Rams have both 98% of bets and handle on their moneyline as well as 88% of the handle on 91% of the bets on the spread. This means one thing – the books are overvaluing the impact of home-field advantage, at least when it comes to informative post outright winning. Now, in super one-sided matchups, this won’t be a huge advantage. But when you spot a matchup that’s nearly a tossup (spread of -3 or less, or odds less than -124), you’ll want to take advantage and hammer an away team, favorite or dog.

Ravens Vs Dolphins Prediction

Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS in September since the start of the 2018 season. Over the past 10 seasons, New York is 11-7 ATS against New England despite going 2-16 SU. New England has covered five of the last seven meetings and won 10 straight outright. Houston is the first undefeated team to be a double-digit underdog since Week 2 of 2016 when San Francisco was a 13-point underdog in Carolina.

Nfl Week 1 Recap

While it did catch one major break from the officials, New Orleans covered in a loss, thanks to a late TD but failed two-point conversion. Actually, it was one of those rare times you were backing an underdog and didn’t want it to score again/tie the game and risk losing ATS in overtime. What’s great about the NFL Matchups is that VegasInsider.com shows all the data from previous games throughout the season. Plus, the Matchups page shows betting history on ATS results. In the sports betting world ATS stands for Against the Spread, which measures the profitability of a team for bettors in terms of the point-spread. As betting trends move strongly in one direction, there may be line movement to balance out the money on each side of the bet.

Five of the last seven matchups, including both last season, landed below the total. Although fans in South Beach may have been disappointed in how last year ended, bettors certainly were not. The ‘Phins were the most profitable team in the league last year, covering at a 68.8% clip (11-5 ATS). In comparison, blindly betting New England would have been a losing endeavor with the Pats covering at 43.8% rate (7-9 ATS) in 2020. The Houston Texans have won each of their last six matchups with the Jacksonville Jaguars and own a 12-2 SU record over this foe dating back to the start of the 2014 campaign.

Both teams are coming off their bye week, so we should see two teams with clear plans in place in this NFL betting matchup. Every team that has faced the Bucs has been able to move the ball through the air, and Miami will also be in catchup mode all game long. I would bet this one all the way up to 240 with confidence. The Bucs are giving up almost 100 yards more than this per game. The Cardinals, though, are a young-and-hungry team with two straight wins and the desire to prove themselves.

The Panthers and Giants are both desperate teams in search of a win. Carolina is down to 3-3 SU after roaring out to a 3-0 start. The Panthers are also 3-3 ATS on the season and have gone 4-2 to the Under. Eagles are 4-15 ATS before playing the Giants since December 2010. Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Under is 7-0 in Browns last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

New Orleans is hoping to get back four-time Pro Bowl RB Alvin Kamara . The Saints outscored their past two opponents in the second half but lost because of slow starts. New Orleans leads the league in rush defense, allowing only 72.9 yards per game and 3.1 per carry. That figures to be an issue for a passing-challenged Eagles offense led by QB Jalen Hurts. Many handicappers like to apply overall league trends to their NFL betting strategy.